2295 The pattern is initially determined
From Best Picture in Drama and Best Picture in Musical Comedy to Best Actor in Drama... Harvey Weinstein's summary and predictions for the first stage of the awards season were completely correct, and he 100% grasped the Academy The trend of public relations once again demonstrated his precise control over the awards season..
So, what about Renly?？
What about Renly, whom Harvey considers a thorn in his side?？
In the battle for Best Actor in a Musical Comedy, "Crackling Drummer" still failed to win a Golden Globe trophy for Renly. With his wonderful performance in "Birdman", coupled with the fact that he is "highly respected" in the industry and knows how to The self-deprecating Michael Keaton made a strong comeback, intercepted Hu Renli halfway, and won the first major acting trophy in his career. This also revealed a shocking upset at the Golden Globe Awards, causing consternation in the industry..
Not only was Harvey's prediction accurate, but his rival Renly also made a mistake, watching helplessly as Keaton completed the overtake and took the inevitable Golden Globe trophy into his arms.——
Although it is said that for Renly now, a Golden Globe trophy has no meaning at all; but from another perspective, Renly, who has swept the world and is invincible, has never been able to make a breakthrough in the Golden Globe Awards. It can be said that It is an interesting microcosm of Hollywood. The contradictions and disputes hidden in it are precisely the gaps that Harvey is making full use of, and may become another hint of the trend of this year's awards season..
Keaton unexpectedly won the award and Renly was upset. These two competitors really stole all the spotlight, so much so that Joaquin Phoenix in "Inherently Evil" and Ralph Fiennes in "The Grand Budapest Hotel" , Bill Murray of "Saint Vincent" and other three nominees were completely reduced to foils, and not many people mentioned it..
This is a major turning point for the entire award season process.
Keaton's victory once again reshuffled the battle for Best Actor. After defeating Renly to win the Golden Globe Award, he also sprinted to the front of the leader; while Eddie, who was originally neck and neck with Renly, successfully won the Drama Actor trophy. Taking him into his arms, the situation in the second stage of the battle for the best actor has changed.——
The trend of focusing on Keaton is very obvious. He has been in the industry for thirty years and has experienced peaks and troughs. He has worked hard to polish himself in the film and theater circles, and then reappeared in the film "Birdman", which is self-deprecating, self-deprecating and self-ridiculing. In front of everyone, he tells the story of the troubles, rise and fall of the entertainment industry in a semi-autobiographical way..
From all aspects, "Birdman" has excited the excitement of the Academy judges, even going further than "The Artist" back then. The overall momentum is already catching up with "Boyhood" and "The Grand Budapest Hotel", plus Thanks to Keaton's personal charm, as well as the tilt of merit votes and guilt votes, Keaton's voice as the best actor has now faintly overshadowed Renly's, and he is neck and neck with another competitor, Eddie, and stands in the leading position..
Despite this, Renly has not been left behind..
In terms of strength, merit, ability, charm, popularity... Even in terms of guilt votes, Renly is not inferior - especially after the Golden Globe Awards once again ignored Renly, and the "Explosive Drummer" was known as This is the best of Renly's career. The powerful influence created by his absolute strength cannot be underestimated. This also makes Renly still stay in the first group, slightly behind Eddie and Keaton, but basically the same. Regardless of their differences, the three actors are now the frontrunners in the Oscar-winner showdown..
If you add Benedict Cumberbatch, Jake Gyllenhaal, Joaquin Phoenix, Ralph Fiennes, Steve Carell and other contenders, this year’s competition for the Best Actor will be The battle is truly hailed as the strongest showdown since the new century, surpassing the sparkling collision between Sean Penn, Mickey Rourke, and Brad Pitt in 2008, and also surpassing Daniel Day-Lewis, Jay C. The strong showdown between Quin Phoenix and Renly Hall in 2012 was full of countless possibilities before reaching the finish line. No one could predict early what would happen in the second stage..
Compared with male actors, the competition for female actors is a completely small year this year, and the overall pattern has been basically determined long ago..
For Best Actress in a Drama Series, there is basically no suspense for Julianne Moore to top the list with "Still Alice". In terms of strength, this is indeed one of the most outstanding performances this year; in terms of credit and guilt, she ranks among the top three in Europe. Julianne Moore, who has already completed the Best Actress Grand Slam at the film festival, has been running with her in North America for 18 years. All four previous nominations were unsuccessful. Is there any reason not to choose her? This should be her coronation ceremony.
“Rosamund Pike of "Gone Girl", Felicity Jones of "The Theory of Everything", Reese Witherspoon of "Into the Wild", Jennifer Annes of "Cake" Suddenly, everyone can only run with me.
It is worth mentioning that Jennifer Aniston has been working in the comedy field for many years, but this year she made a breakthrough with the small-budget independent film "Cake" and received her first acting nomination in the drama category in history. She even hopes to Going one step further at the Oscars, this is also a big topic.
In addition, Rosamund Pike, who has received numerous accolades for her role in "Gone Girl", emerged with solid and tough acting skills, and her calls for awards continue to soar. She should be the only actor who can challenge Julianne Moore. As for Felicity, the entire focus of "The Theory of Everything" is on Eddie Redmayne, and Harvey's public relations focus is also on Eddie, without spending much energy on the actress. , nomination is victory.
But overall, this should be one of the least suspenseful awards this year. The impact of Rosamund is really limited. Not only the Golden Globe Awards, but even the Oscars, Julianne is far ahead in the second stage. There shouldn't be too many surprises.
Best Actress in a Musical Comedy, Amy Adams won the Golden Globe Award for "Big Eyes" - last year it was "American Hustle"”.
But compared to the leading actor department and the best picture category in the musical comedy category, the competition for this award does not have much to watch, because this year's top seed contestants in the musical comedy category all have roles with male protagonists, and the actresses do not have much room to play. , even the nomination list seems unsatisfactory.
“Emily Blunt of "The Jungle Book", Quvenzhané Wallis of "Annie: New York", Helen Mirren of "Michelin Love", and Julianne Moore of "Maps to the Stars", respectively four other nominees.
Except for Julianne, who was nominated for Best Actress, and was able to create some threats, Amy Adams faced almost no challenges, because the other three nominations were more like making up the numbers, and their overall strength was far from being worthy of acting, let alone To say that the work itself is already a disaster.
To be precise, even Amy's performance this year is far from outstanding, and she is more of the tallest among the short ones..
Obviously, in sharp contrast to the battle for the leading actor department, the leading actress department is basically Julianne's best..
However, the supporting department still gave some surprises. The competition between male actors and actresses was very fierce, and at the same time, their leading advantages were relatively obvious..
Best Supporting Actor, Ethan Hawke of "Boyhood", Mark Ruffalo of "Foxcatcher", Edward Norton of "Birdman" and Robert Duvall of "Judge" all have it The competitiveness, especially the first three, are all potential winners that cannot be ignored from their works to their strength, but in the end they all lost to the "Explosive Drummer" JK Simmons.
Best Supporting Actress: Keira Knightley for "The Imitation Game", Emma Stone for "Birdman", Meryl Streep for "Ozark" and "A Most Violent Year" Jessica Chastain, they are also very competitive and have the impact of winning the award, but Patricia Arquette from "Boyhood" still won easily.
What the two award departments have in common is that the overall competition pattern has been initially formed, the works and strength have been affirmed, and the first group has become relatively stable; however, within the first group, the trend of voice and support has once again formed a gap, JK -Simmons and Patricia Arquette have now vaguely occupied the leading position, and their upward momentum is accelerating, gradually widening the distance between them and other nominee candidates.
Of course, there are still many variables in the second stage. Until the Oscars reveal the answer, everything is possible. However, judging from the current situation, these two awards are just like the Best Actress department, lacking more suspense and lack of more details. There are many waves, and it is difficult for the overall trend to turn around..
If this is true, then all the focus of the acting department will fall on the best actor. The competition for the best actor will be fiercer than ever. The public relations of the major film companies will use all their means. It is bound to be a bloody and violent Shura field.
From the perspective of the award ceremony, the Academy certainly does not want to see such a situation. So, will they add more waves to the discussion and attention, and make some noise in the other three awards? Will any film company seize such an opportunity to create more disturbances and disrupt the overall balance of the second stage?？
everything is possible！
Even Julianne Moore still dares not take it lightly - the company responsible for publishing "Still Alice" is Sony Classics. How to balance her public relations power, and seek more possibilities in the second phase, firmly grasp the existing Advantages, this will also be an important topic for Sony Classics.
You must know that Sony Classics is facing siege from film companies such as Focus Pictures, Weinstein Pictures, Fox Searchlight, Warner Bros., etc. In addition, there are many small independent distribution companies that are eyeing it. Sony Classics can Never dare to be arrogant and think that victory is guaranteed.
The most direct proof is that the Golden Globe Awards once again divided the cake, and Fox Searchlight firmly seized the opportunity and won the Best Screenplay Award in the midst of a melee. This also means that the main awards of the Golden Globe Awards Once again, once again belonging to many different films.
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